DeagolModel_F09Q1.xls

• Currently 0.00/5 Stars.

Long term recommendation:

STRONG BUY below $189

buy from $189 to $211

neutral from $211 to $235

sell above $235

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3mo ending Dec-2008:

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FY09Q1 Revenue($B) EPS($)

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Apple guidance 9.50 1.21

Analysts cons. 9.85 1.39

My estimate 10.88 1.80

My non-GAAP e. 13.43 2.83

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Product Units(M)

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Mac 2.7

iPhone 6.0

iPod 19.5

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3mo ending Mar-2009:

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FY09Q2 Revenue($B) EPS($)

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Analysts cons. 8.33 1.13

My estimate 9.64 1.52

My non-GAAP e. 10.77 1.97

Apple gd (est) 8.85 1.15

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12mo ending Sep-2009:

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FY09 Revenue($B) EPS($)

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Analysts cons. 36.17 5.05

My estimate 41.13 6.50

My non-gaap e. 47.10 8.92

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Valuation (25 x fwd EPS):

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Timeframe Period Price fwd-12mo EPS

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Fair Value Mar-09 189 7.57

1yr Target Dec-09 235 9.40

Analysts mean target 131

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